Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1197
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
G4 1197 · CHA → SFB
departs 10:30 AM ET · arrives 12:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
CHA is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at SFB that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CHA
Weather at each end
CHA (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.