Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1218
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
G4 1218 · SFB → CHA
departs 8:06 AM ET · arrives 9:51 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at CHA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at SFB that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
8am departures from SFB are usually not late
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.07 in
CHA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.