Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1329
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
G4 1329 · MDT → SFB
departs 2:10 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDT (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.