G4 1352 · SRQ → CAK

departs 9:16 AM ET · arrives 11:53 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CAK?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ 9am departures from SRQ are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CAK

Weather at each end

SRQ (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CAK (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1352 · SRQ → CAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAK?