G4 1364 · SYR → SRQ

departs 3:25 PM ET · arrives 6:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SYR

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SYR (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1364 · SYR → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?