G4 1590 · PVU → AZA

departs 6:20 PM MT · arrives 7:00 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AZA?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVU

Weather at each end

PVU (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

AZA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1590 · PVU → AZA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AZA?