G4 2607 · PIE → MDT

departs 1:26 PM ET · arrives 4:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDT?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from PIE are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2607 · PIE → MDT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDT?