G4 2609 · PIE → BLV

departs 7:56 AM ET · arrives 9:29 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BLV?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ BLV is prone to delays

↓ 7am departures from PIE are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BLV (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2609 · PIE → BLV

Odds over time

How late will it get to BLV?