G4 2707 · TYS → PIE

departs 4:26 PM ET · arrives 6:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2707 · TYS → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?