Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2833
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
G4 2833 · SFB → AVL
departs 2:58 PM ET · arrives 4:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at SFB that day
↑
Arrivals into AVL at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from SFB are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.