Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 283
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
G4 283 · IWA → BLI
departs 12:07 AM MSK · arrives 5:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/30 12%
Mon 11/2 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave IWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at BLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BLI?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BLI
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IWA
↓
BLI usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
IWA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BLI (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.