G4 2934 · SFB → LCK

departs 1:50 PM ET · arrives 4:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at LCK more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LCK?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at SFB that day

↑ 1pm departures from SFB are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LCK

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

LCK (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2934 · SFB → LCK

Odds over time

How late will it get to LCK?