G4 2981 · FNT → SRQ

departs 12:27 PM ET · arrives 3:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FNT

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FNT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2981 · FNT → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?