Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3205
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
G4 3205 · ATW → SFB
departs 10:57 AM CT · arrives 2:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.