G4 388 · CVG → SFB

departs 7:56 AM ET · arrives 10:13 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFB?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at SFB that day

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 388 · CVG → SFB

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFB?