G4 517 · TYS → PGD

departs 10:52 AM ET · arrives 12:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ PGD is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ Arrivals into PGD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility6.42857 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 517 · TYS → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?