Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 8022
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
G4 8022 · RIV → AVL
departs 9:01 AM PT · arrives 3:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave RIV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at RIV that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RIV (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
AVL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.