G4 849 · CID → PGD

departs 4:49 PM CT · arrives 9:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD

↑ PGD is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CID

Weather at each end

CID (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 849 · CID → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?