Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 913
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
G4 913 · LEX → PGD
departs 5:38 PM ET · arrives 7:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD
↑
PGD is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.