Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 9203
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
G4 9203 · SFB → PIE
departs 7:43 PM ET · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at SFB that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
G4's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.