G4 947 · SPI → PGD

departs 2:19 PM CT · arrives 6:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SPI

Weather at each end

SPI (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 947 · SPI → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?