Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 950
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
G4 950 · ABE → PGD
departs 10:29 AM ET · arrives 1:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PGD
↑
PGD is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABE
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ABE (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 6.42857 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.