G4 976 · EYW → PIE

departs 12:48 PM ET · arrives 2:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EYW is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PIE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EYW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 976 · EYW → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?