G4 983 · PIE → MLI

departs 8:56 AM ET · arrives 10:46 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MLI?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ 8am departures from PIE are usually not late

↓ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at PIE that day

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MLI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 983 · PIE → MLI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MLI?