G7 4524 · STL → IAH

departs 8:27 AM CT · arrives 10:41 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ G7's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling11,714 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4524 · STL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?