tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JAPAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT JL 56 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

JL 56 · NRT → ORD

departs 9:46 AM JST · arrives 7:12 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.9d 2d 1d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.