Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
STARLUX · FLIGHT JX 10
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
JX 10 · TPE → ONT
departs 8:06 PM CST · arrives 4:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 18%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave TPE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ONT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ONT?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPE
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPE (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ONT (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.