Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

KOREAN AIR · FLIGHT KE 86 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

KE 86 · JFK → ICN

departs 12:58 AM ET · arrives 5:06 AM KST
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at ICN more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.0d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ICN?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.