Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 414 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

KG 414 · LBF → SNY

departs 7:05 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at SNY more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNY?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from LBF are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SNY at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LBF (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

SNY (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 414 · LBF → SNY

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNY?