Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JIN AIR · FLIGHT LJ 917 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Today

LJ 917 · ICN → GUM

departs 10:30 PM KST · arrives 3:55 AM ChST

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GUM?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GUM

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICN

↓ Arrivals into GUM at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ICN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GUM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LJ 917 · ICN → GUM

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUM?