MQ 3444 · DFW → HRL

departs 12:43 PM CT · arrives 2:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HRL?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HRL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3444 · DFW → HRL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HRL?