Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3473
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
MQ 3473 · HRL → DFW
departs 10:37 AM CT · arrives 12:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 6%
Fri 10/30 8%
Sat 10/31 7%
Sun 11/1 8%
Mon 11/2 12%
Tue 11/3 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 9,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.