Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 9867 LANDED 3:22 PM CT, ~26 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Today

MQ 9867 · ORD → ORD

took off 2:47 PM CT · landed 3:22 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 9867 · ORD → ORD

Odds over time