Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1338
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
MX 1338 · MHT → RSW
departs 10:26 AM ET · arrives 2:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Sat 10/31 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MHT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
RSW is prone to delays
↑
MX's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MHT
Weather at each end
MHT (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 9.2 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.