MX 1366 · CHS → MSY

departs 9:00 PM ET · arrives 10:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late

↑ 9pm departures from CHS are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1366 · CHS → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?