MX 1612 · VRB → TTN

departs 5:13 PM ET · arrives 7:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at TTN more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TTN?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at VRB

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN

Weather at each end

VRB (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.18 in

TTN (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1612 · VRB → TTN

Odds over time

How late will it get to TTN?