MX 1623 · MSN → RSW

departs 4:54 PM CT · arrives 9:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into RSW at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSN

Weather at each end

MSN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1623 · MSN → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?