Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 2522
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
MX 2522 · MCO → BGR
departs 1:22 PM ET · arrives 4:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 14%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at BGR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BGR?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
1pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Arrivals into BGR at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BGR
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
BGR (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.