MX 303 · RSW → MSY

departs 6:23 PM ET · arrives 7:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

↑ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

MSY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 303 · RSW → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?