MX 411 · CHS → RSW

departs 6:59 AM ET · arrives 8:50 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at RSW that day

↑ RSW is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 411 · CHS → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?