Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 6410 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:09 AM ET, ETA 4:44 AM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Today

MX 6410 · LAF → BDL

took off 3:09 AM ET · expected to land 4:44 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MX's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAF

Weather at each end

LAF (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 6410 · LAF → BDL

Odds over time