MX 736 · PVD → DAB

departs 4:24 PM ET · arrives 7:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DAB more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAB?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DAB that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DAB at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAB (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 736 · PVD → DAB

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAB?