Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 966
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
MX 966 · VRB → HPN
departs 4:09 PM ET · arrives 7:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 17%
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 17%
Tue 11/3 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave VRB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at VRB
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
VRB (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.18 in
HPN (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.