Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR NEW ZEALAND · FLIGHT NZ 28 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

NZ 28 · AKL → IAH

departs 7:55 AM NZDT · arrives 3:12 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AKL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

AKL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

NZ 28 · AKL → IAH

Odds over time