Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5133 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

OH 5133 · RIC → PHL

departs 3:45 PM ET · arrives 4:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from RIC are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5133 · RIC → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?