Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5616 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

OH 5616 · PHL → YUL

departs 1:46 PM ET · arrives 3:24 PM EDT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YUL?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YUL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YUL (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5616 · PHL → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?