Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5640 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

OH 5640 · DFW → DSM

departs 7:23 AM CT · arrives 9:28 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5640 · DFW → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?