OO 3052 · FAT → SAN

departs 9:54 AM PT · arrives 11:24 AM PT

Your aircraft is N404SY (E75L), coming in as OO 3472 from SAN: landed 11:13 PM PT.

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ FAT is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

FAT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3052 · FAT → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?