OO 3208 · BOI → GEG

took off 1:14 PM MT · expected to land 1:04 PM PT (scheduled 12:59 PM MT → 1:25 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GEG?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at GEG that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

BOI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3208 · BOI → GEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to GEG?