Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3294
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 3294 · SEA → BLI
departs 12:58 PM PT · arrives 1:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 21%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at BLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BLI?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at BLI that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into BLI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.07 in
BLI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.